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Everyone has a theory about when to book flights — Tuesdays, six weeks out, incognito mode, midnight — and almost all of them are folklore with a thin veneer of confidence. The honest version is more useful: prices follow route-level patterns, not calendar superstitions, and the traveller with a price alert on their actual route learns those patterns in two to three weeks of watching. This guide covers the realistic booking windows by route type, why the Tuesday advice survives despite being mostly wrong, and the alert-and-range strategy that gets you a genuinely good fare without a single lucky guess.
A practical guide to when flight prices actually drop — realistic booking windows by route type, why the 'Tuesday magic' myth persists, and the alert strategy that beats guessing.
Mostly no — prices change constantly and any day can have a low point on a given route. The belief survives because airlines do release some sales early in the week, but watching your specific route matters far more than the day you click.
Domestic routes often bottom out roughly 3-8 weeks before departure, while long-haul international is usually cheapest 2-6 months out — and peak-season travel breaks every rule, climbing as seats sell regardless of when you book.
They replace guessing with evidence: watch your route for two to three weeks to learn its normal range, then book when the price dips to or below that range. You stop chasing mythical lows and start recognising real ones.
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